A Practitioner’s Guide to Commitments, Cash Flows, and the Return That Reaches the Investor
Julian R. Sterling
These are the four Excel workbooks that go with the book. Every figure the book prints is
reproduced in them by a live formula rather than a typed constant — move a capital call,
change the cash rate, choose a different index, and every dependent number moves. Each one ends
with a Checks sheet setting the printed figure beside the computed one:
63 controls in all, every one green. If a control ever reads FAIL, the workbook
is wrong, not the book.
Free to download. No sign-up, no email address, nothing to fill in.
Everything described below is inside it, with the read-me.
The four workbooks
Chapters 1, 4, 8 and 11
Thornbury — the three returns
The fund's internal rate of return of 13.2935 per cent, the sleeve with the
uncalled commitment held in the listed index at 9.1878, the sleeve with it
held in cash at 6.2571, and the index itself at 7.1312
— all four computed from one call and distribution schedule.
The apparent advantage of 6.1624 points, the real one of 2.0567, the
33.3744 per cent that reached the foundation and the ratio of 3.00 are live cells.
Underneath sits the engine the other three workbooks share: the fund's net flows, the sleeve
account on both idle policies year by year, the cumulative capital at work, and the
compounding factors. Set the cash row equal to the index row and watch the fund's return
refuse to move while the sleeve returns converge — the whole of Chapter 9 in one edit,
and worth 2.9307 points a year.
The_Three_Returns.xlsx · XLSX · 14 KB
Chapters 3, 5 and 10
The cash-flow engine
The shape of the programme rather than its return. TVPI 1.6560x, DPI
1.4025x, RVPI 0.2535x, and the share of the multiple already banked. Then
the J-curve as a computed row rather than a picture: 90, 240, 349, 383, 306,
154, 21, −74, −160, −227.
And the arithmetic that belongs in every allocation paper and appears in almost none. A
commitment of 600 never put more than 383 to work, so
36.1667 per cent of it was never invested at any moment, and holding the
target genuinely invested would have required committing 939.95 — an
over-commitment of 56.6580 per cent. The ratio is a property of your own schedule, and the
sheet recomputes it when you type one in.
The_Cash_Flow_Engine.xlsx · XLSX · 14 KB
Chapters 6 and 7
The public market equivalent
Every capital call treated as a purchase of the index and every distribution as a sale, both
compounded to the same date: 979.96 against 1,230.20, a
Kaplan-Schoar ratio of 1.2554x and a direct alpha of 5.8628 per cent. The
manager did beat the index on the capital it used, and the workbook says so.
Then the comparison that is usually skipped. A private equity portfolio is a levered equity
portfolio, so the sheet builds an index levered to a beta you set — at 1.15 it returned
7.8203 per cent a year rather than 7.1312 — and the ratio falls to
1.2255x. Change the index series entirely and watch the answer move: the
choice of benchmark is a decision, and this is where it becomes visible.
The_Public_Market_Equivalent.xlsx · XLSX · 13 KB
Chapters 13, 14 and 15
Smoothing, fees and the exit
The first-order autocorrelation measured from the reported series —
0.5245, which a listed index does not do and an appraisal series does
— and the standard correction reversed across the whole range of coefficients. The
sleeve's volatility goes from 3.1547 to 5.4849 per cent, its correlation
with the index from 0.0707 to 0.3098, and its beta from 0.0215 to
0.1639: seven and a half times, on the number an allocation model is solved
on. Portfolio volatility barely moves, so the diversification case survives; the sheet shows
both so you can say which is which.
Then the load in money — management fees 55.56, carried interest 92.50, the advisory
layer 21.00, 169.06 against a net gain of 370.00, which is
45.6926 per cent — and the secondary market: what a discount on the
residual does to the sleeve's ten-year return, run from nothing to giving it away.
Smoothing_Fees_and_the_Exit.xlsx · XLSX · 17 KB
Conventions used throughout
Blue text
a hardcoded input — you may edit these
Yellow fill
an input cell; everything else on the sheet is a formula
Black text
a formula — do not overtype these
Checks sheet
the printed figure beside the computed one, with a PASS or a FAIL
Why the checks matter more than the models
A workbook that agrees with a book proves nothing on its own — the author wrote both. What
the Checks sheets do is different: they force the model to reproduce a number that was printed
before the model existed, from a formula rather than from the number itself.
On this book the discipline caught a timing convention rather than an arithmetic slip, which is
the harder kind to find. The fund's internal rate of return depends on when the residual value is
struck: at the last reporting date it is 13.2935 per cent, and dated a year later
it is 12.9426. Neither is wrong and the difference is not small. The convention
is now stated once in the fact pattern, carried in the appendix of the printed book, and
reproduced in the workbooks so that a reader can switch it and see the effect.
Where a shortcut and the full computation disagree, both are shown. The apparent advantage is
6.1624 points on the unrounded series and 6.1623 if you subtract the printed returns; the risk
reduction is 2.9836 points as claimed and 2.4454 once the valuations are unsmoothed. Neither gap
is smoothed away.
Opening the files
The workbooks open in Microsoft Excel, LibreOffice Calc, Google Sheets and Numbers. They use
no macros and no add-ins, so nothing needs to be enabled or trusted. If your spreadsheet asks
to update links on opening, decline — there are none.
Closing the DealTwo defensible bridges 20.70 million apart, a peg worth 7.00 million, and the six choices that remove 6.60 of a 12.00 earn-out.
CMBS and CRE CLOsWhere the loss actually lands, from appraisal reduction to realised severity, and what the B-piece is really being paid for.
How to Read a Commercial LeaseThe three refinements chapter 19 names and never performs, and the renewal rate below which the mark-to-market is worth nothing.
How to Read a Credit AgreementWhere the default actually comes from, the cure that costs 5.5 times the other, and the capacity nobody adds up.
How to Read a Real Estate Loan AgreementThe cure ratio in closed form, the four-point window in which the cheap cure works, and the cure sized to the wrong threshold.
Office Real EstateA six per cent yield that returns 3.2 per cent once the re-letting cycle is paid for, and the headline-to-net-effective rent arithmetic.
Private Equity Real EstateBoth worked waterfalls to the dollar, the two capital stacks, and the arithmetic of the promote made changeable.
Private Markets PerformanceThirty-one of the thirty-three figures chapter 19 publishes reproduce exactly — and the two that do not are named rather than quietly adopted.
Raising a Real Estate FundThe chapter 17 funnel run on a calendar — when the first close actually lands, and why more travel does not help.
Real Estate FinanceFour people look at one building and reach four numbers; the lender is whole only above 105,109,489, twelve per cent below today’s value rather than forty.
Real Estate Financial ModelingProperty, development and fund models built line by line, and the modelling test worked end to end.
Real Estate Fund ManagementThe waterfall of 6.11, the build-to-core of 8.7 and the proceeds gap, reproduced as live formulas rather than asserted.
REIT Analysis and ValuationFFO of 532.0, AFFO of 381.0, net asset value and dividend safety — every figure a formula you can change.
Retail Real EstateThe occupancy cost of every unit in a centre, the sixteen per cent of the rent roll no tenant can sustain, and the right-size-convert-or-hold decision priced.
Sale and LeasebackA €179.5 million transaction end to end, with rent cover measured on the entity that actually signs the lease.
Self-Storage Real EstateThe cohort engine behind a 590-unit store, and the rate increase on existing customers priced against the move-outs it causes.
The Fund Finance ProfessionalChapter 8 builds the reported-to-eligible NAV bridge; chapter 9 computes every ratio without it. Two points at every state — and what a subscription line does to the IRR.
The Growth Equity InvestorWhat a pro rata cheque really costs, and the band where defending your ownership loses money.
The Private Credit InvestorThe two coverage ratios are not measured on the same thing: the erosion is 47.7 per cent, not the 28.7 the headline implies.
The Private Equity Fund Controller PlaybookThe book defines IRR, DPI, RVPI and TVPI, tells you to update them at the exit, and prints not one value. Computed: a 1.833× deal inside a fund at 0.892 TVPI.
The Venture Capital AssociateWhat defending a position costs, and how many companies a reserve pool actually defends.
Financial Risk ManagementA fund inside every limit that cannot meet a redemption — and the number that decides it is the one with no currency attached.
Business ValuationThree advisers land 26.8 per cent apart on one company, and the whole gap turns out to be 1.96 points of perpetual growth.
Quantitative FinanceThree models agree to a quarter of one per cent about a number that one unobservable input moves a hundred and three times as much.
Asset ManagementFour people quote four returns for one mandate, all correct and 2.7017 points apart — forty-eight times the manager’s net skill.
Credit AnalysisFour defensible EBITDAs on one borrower give leverage from 3.19x to 6.47x — and the add-back argument is fifty times the covenant headroom.
Venture CapitalOne company out of twenty-eight returns 56.7 per cent of the fund, and half the capital goes in after the decision — at half the return.
Machine Learning for FinanceFive people quote the accuracy of one credit model, all five are right, and the number that decides how much money it makes is none of them.
Commercial Real Estate InvestingThe equity earned 8.6647 per cent and the investor received exactly 8.0000 — the preferred return, and nothing above it.
Mergers and AcquisitionsThe board paper says the deal creates 13,436,667 of value. The arithmetic says it destroys 17,530,855. Nobody is lying.
DerivativesThe treasury report says the hedge cost 1,233,698. That is the interest differential, not a cost.
Treasury ManagementFive cash balances for one company, all correct and 145,600,000 apart — and the revolver that is two-thirds of the liquidity leaves at a revenue fall of 8.4127 per cent.
Financial Planning and AnalysisRevenue 3.0190 per cent above budget and operating profit 16.3209 per cent below it, in the same quarter, with every figure correctly stated.
Energy TradingA position report that is 91.7031 per cent hedged and correctly computed, on a book that is short 2,542,000 MWh — and a margin call of 198,400,000 the next morning.
Construction Cost ControlA contract sum of 26,301,102 became a final account of 29,153,363 on the building that was drawn — and 85.8 per cent of what was lost was knowable on the day it was signed.